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Nicholas Heymann

More on activist investor Ackman and ADT

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Wednesday, July 17, 2013

There was additional speculation this week about whether activist hedge-fund manager William Ackman is intending to take a stake in The ADT Corp. An article in The New York Times said that his investing in the home security/home automation giant is more likely than his buying into FedEx, another company he is rumored to be considering.

The article said that’s basically because Ackman would have less say in FedEx, a much larger company than ADT, where he could wield greater influence.

There’s a possibility we could find out the answer later this week. Bloomberg reported July 9 that Ackman, who runs $12 billion Pershing Square Capital Management, was raising $1 billion over the next 10 days to buy a stake in a “large-capitalization, investment-grade U.S. corporation that principally operates in one business” that he didn’t name.

If he's successful, that would mean he’d have the money by this Thursday or Friday and he could reveal his pick then. However, he also could wait until later this year before announcing the choice, Nicholas Heymann, co-group head of global industrial infrastructure for New York-based William Blair & Company, told me.

"The issue is once you raise the money you have to put it to work," he said. However, Heymann said, "chances are, especially if it happens to be including some of his other 12 billion dollars of funds that he manages in addition to the $1 billion single stock fund, you and I are not going to know what his positions are until they’re reported 45 days after the close of the quarter, so we could end up hearing about this in mid-November."  The news could come earlier if Ackman chooses to voluntarily disclose it, Heymann said.

ADT has told Security Systems News the company does not comment on market rumors.

But some other important industry news is also related to ADT, and that’s the recent announcement that Monitronics plans to acquire Security Networks next month.

“We continue to look at the ramifications of the Security Networks acquisition by Monitronics as it relates to the implied value of ADT,” Heymann said.

In a July 11 William Blair & Company industry report authored by Heymann, the company explained how that pending deal sheds light on the value of ADT. Here’s some more detail from the report:
 

Our belief that ADT remains the most undervalued company in our multi-industry universe was starkly highlighted with the announcement after the close yesterday that Ascent Capital Group’s (ASCMA $84.15) primary operating subsidiary, Monitronics International, has signed a definitive agreement to acquire Security Networks for total compensation of $507.5 million, or about 60 times Security Networks’ average recurring monthly revenue. Before the announcement of this transaction, Monitronics was the third-largest North American residential security company and Security Networks was the 14th-largest. Following the completion of the proposed acquisition, the combined company will have 1.034 million customers (almost the same number as Protection One, the current second-largest North American residential security provider) and, on a pro forma basis, hold just under a 4% share of the North American residential security market.

… The valuation paid for Network Securities by Monitronics would value ADT between $67 and $74 per share. On an implied market capitalization basis, ADT would be valued in a range of $15.4 billion-$16.8 billion, well above the company’s current $9.2 billion market capitalization.

ADT stock closed at $42.68 per share today. That's down 28 cents or .65 percent from its $42.96 close yesterday and Heymann speculated later today that talk that Ackmann was NOT interested in buying into ADT may have caused the drop, the opposite of last week when ADT stock climbed based on speculation that Ackman was interested. "We think Ackman may have been at this big hedge fund meeting this afternoon and said something that implied he was NOT looking at ADT ... or an ADT type company," Heymann told me in an email this afternoon.

So which company does Ackman have his sights on? The situation is decidedly very fluid, and very interesting. I’ll be reporting more on this. Stay tuned!

 

 

Wall Street likes the new ADT

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Tuesday, October 2, 2012

Yesterday marked the first day of trading on the New York Stock Exchange for The ADT Corp., the new name for independent ADT post its split with Tyco International. It did well on the market, according to news reports.

Here’s more from Dow Jones Newswires:
 

Tyco International Ltd (TYC) and spinoff [The] ADT Corp. (ADT) received warm receptions from the market during their first day of trading as slimmed-down companies focused on different parts of the market for building security and safety.

Fire-protection-and-suppression equipment manufacturer Tyco on Monday closed up 3.1% at $28.50 a share. Meanwhile, home-security-monitoring service ADT finished up 3.5% at $37.27 a share after being lower for the first half of Monday's trading session. Analysts said ADT's performance reflected investors' cautiousness about assigning a price to a company with no natural market peers.

"The shareholder profiles for these two companies are quite different," said Nicholas Heymann, an analyst for Robert W. Baird. "You've got a cyclical growth stock [in Tyco] and basically an industrial utility stock" in ADT.

Tyco, which has its headquarters in Switzerland, was once one of the world's largest industrial conglomerates. It grew over years of accelerated purchasing under former CEO L. Dennis Kozlowski, who was convicted in 2005 of larceny, securities fraud and falsifying business records stemming from schemes that allowed him to reap hundreds of millions of dollars from Tyco and its stock to support his lavish lifestyle.

Edward Breen, who replaced Mr. Kozlowski in 2002, has spent the past 10 years methodically shrinking Tyco by selling dozens of businesses and spinning off parts of the company to shareholders as stand-alone companies.

A year ago, Tyco announced plans to further dismantle the company by spinning off ADT and the company's pipe and valve business as new public companies. The pipe and valve business merged earlier this year with pump maker Pentair Ltd. (PNR), leaving Tyco and ADT as the remaining pieces of the company in the breakup.

Tyco's focus is limited to fire-protection systems and equipment used in commercial buildings and institutions such as college campuses. Its Simplex Grinnell brand of sprinklers, fire-detection sensors and video-monitoring service are market leaders.

Read more: http://www.foxbusiness.com/news/2012/10/01/tyco-ad...